EUR/USD & GBP/USD Daily Playbook – December 12, 2025
Structured view on EUR/USD and GBP/USD for the coming session. This is an educational trading playbook, not financial advice or a signal service.
Market Context
This playbook is generated in the evening New York time using the latest daily reference rates for the next trading session. It is a framework: bands, bias, and scenarios. Intraday price action still needs to confirm or kill any idea you take from here.
Snapshot (ECB reference): At the latest daily fix, EUR/USD is around 1.17140 and GBP/USD around 1.33860. The exact broker prints will differ by a few pips; the structure is what matters.
Summary Bias
EUR/USD: Bias leans bullish above the near-term support band and turns cautious if price starts holding below the deeper band.
GBP/USD: More fragile by nature; fading spikes into resistance often makes more sense than chasing late breakouts.
These are zones, not guarantees. How price behaves when it actually trades into them matters more than any pre-market label.
EUR/USD Plan
Approx. reference spot: 1.17140
Auto-generated bands (TP/SL-style zones):
- Near support band (potential entry / add area): 1.16740
- Deeper support band (last line before bias flips): 1.16340
- Near resistance band (first scale-out / reaction zone): 1.17540
- Extended resistance band (stretch target / fade zone): 1.17940
Primary Scenario – Long Rotations Above Support
While EUR/USD holds above the deeper support band, a base case idea is to look for long rotations into the near support band with the deeper band acting as a soft invalidation zone for the idea.
Alternate Scenario – Support Fails
If EUR/USD starts accepting below the deeper support band, the long idea is off the table and short rotations back into broken support can become more attractive, with the upper resistance bands acting as potential scale-out zones.
Signal of the Day – EUR/USD (Sample Idea)
Bias: Buy-the-dip while the deeper support band holds.
- Preferred entry zone: pullbacks into 1.16740 down toward 1.16340.
- Initial target zone: rotation back toward 1.17540, with extension potential into 1.17940 if momentum is clean.
- Idea invalidation: sustained trade and acceptance below the deeper support band 1.16340.
This is an educational template around the bands, not a mechanical signal. Real execution still depends on intraday price action and your own risk plan.
GBP/USD Plan
Approx. reference spot: 1.33860
Auto-generated bands (TP/SL-style zones):
- Near resistance band (fade / first target): 1.34360
- Extended resistance band (stretch / exhaustion area): 1.34860
- Near support band (first downside reaction zone): 1.33360
- Deeper support band (flush / late buyers cleanup): 1.32860
Primary Scenario – Fade Rallies Into Resistance
With GBP/USD often trading more erratically than EUR/USD, a default stance is to fade spikes into the resistance bands with clear invalidation above the extended band, instead of chasing strength late into the move.
Alternate Scenario – Squeeze Above Resistance
If GBP/USD starts accepting above the extended resistance band, the fade idea is done and buying pullbacks into that zone can become the more logical plan, with support bands then acting as potential risk markers.
Signal of the Day – GBP/USD (Sample Idea)
Bias: Fade extended strength into resistance while volatility stays elevated.
- Preferred entry zone: spikes into 1.34360 up toward 1.34860.
- Initial target zone: mean-reversion back toward the mid area and the near support band around 1.33360.
- Idea invalidation: sustained trade and acceptance above the extended resistance band 1.34860.
As with all GBP/USD ideas, sizing and patience matter more than bravado. This is an educational framework around the levels, not a guaranteed outcome or trade recommendation.
Risk & Disclaimer
This playbook is generated automatically for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a signal service. Markets can and will move in ways that violate any scenario outlined here.
- Always size positions based on your own risk tolerance and account size.
- A losing streak is normal in trading; risk should be small enough that a series of losses does not threaten the account.
- Do your own research and, if necessary, consult a licensed financial professional before risking real capital.